Decoding the Multiple: Why Comparing Agency Sale Numbers Can Mislead You
- Matt Naimoli
- Dec 11, 2024
- 2 min read
Updated: Jun 27
A common point of discussion – and often confusion – for insurance agency owners considering selling their business revolves around the sale multiple.
It's natural to hear stories of agencies selling for 8x, 10x, even 12x EBITDA and wonder how your own potential offers stack up. However, directly comparing the multiple you might receive to what someone else reported can be incredibly misleading.
The reported EBITDA multiple is often a result of the past, a consequence of numerous factors unique to each transaction.
Think about it...
Heard Someone Got 12x for Their Agency? Here's What That Really Means
If a fellow agency owner—let’s call him Jimmy—tells you he sold for 12x EBITDA, that’s fantastic news for Jimmy. Celebrate his success!
But here’s a reality check: don’t rush to benchmark your situation against his.There’s no such thing as a true apples-to-apples comparison in this space.
Let’s break down a real scenario.
One agency received three different offers, each with the same guaranteed upfront payout: $10 million. But the implied EBITDA multiples in the Letters of Intent (LOIs) told very different stories:
Buyer 1: 8× EBITDA based on their pro forma adjusted earnings
Buyer 2: 12× EBITDA based on trailing twelve-month EBITDA (no adjustments)
Buyer 3: 15× EBITDA by including future earn-out potential and equity appreciation
✅ Same agency
✅ Same guaranteed cash
🚨 Three very different multiples
Why Multiples Alone Can Be Misleading
This example shows why fixating on a single number—especially someone else’s—can be a trap.
Each buyer may calculate and present their multiple differently:
Adjusted vs. unadjusted EBITDA
Inclusion (or not) of earn-outs
Projected vs. trailing performance
Equity value assumptions
Focus on What Really Drives Value
Instead of chasing the highest multiple you've heard, focus on the fundamentals of your own deal:
What are your profit margins?
How strong is your cash flow?
What's the guaranteed upfront portion?
How is the earn-out structured, and what needs to happen to achieve it?
Is there equity involved, and how is it valued?
These are the pieces that actually shape your financial outcome—not just the multiple slapped on the LOI.
Stay Grounded in Your Own Goals
At the end of the day, selling your agency isn’t about beating someone else’s number—it’s about securing the right deal for you.
Is the buyer the right long-term fit?
Are the deal terms aligned with your exit timeline and risk tolerance?
Does the structure give you the flexibility or freedom you want post-close?
A big number can be exciting. But real value lives in the details.
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